Critical Chance

Tag: Retirement

  • The Power of Consistency

    The Power of Consistency

    Warren Buffet has an interesting principal he follows. 

    At the end of each year, a company gets to decide what to do with their earnings. Some companies issue a portion of the money to their shareholders; this is called a dividend. Most investors love it, in fact some design their portfolios to exclusively invest in companies that provide annual dividends. Warren on the other hand? He HATES investing in these companies.

    Why? When you receive a dividend, you realize gains, which means you have to pay taxes each year.

    Warren would rather the money was reinvested into the business to help it grow.

    First off, this allows him to avoid taxes for as long as he can.  But if we remember the rules of compounding, it allows his money to stay in the system and work even harder. Warren wants to be taxed only once, at the very end when the journey is over, not throughout.

    Buffett principal #2: Never take your money out

    The Aggregation of Gains

    The first rule of compounding is to start as early as you can. 

    But once your money is in, we want to optimize towards growth – this means paying as little as possible. 

    “The objective is to buy a non-dividend-paying stock that compounds for 30 years at 15% a year and pay only a single tax at the end of the period. After taxes this works out to a 13.4% annual rate of return.

    Charlie Munger, 1998

    If you invested $10,000 with Warren Buffett, at his annual rate of return of 23%, the following chart shows you the amount you’d have in 30 years, based off if you paid taxes each year versus allowed the money to keep compounding. 


    Assumes 23% compounding annual rate, blue line allows money to compound, red line removes taxes at 35% rate each year
    It’s worth noting that these are extremely high rates of return, and the average investor can expect to get closer to 8% ARR

    Breaks vs BRAKES

    Breaks are healthy – they allow us to recover and admire our results.

    Trouble comes when we allow a short break to turn into hitting the brakes (that is, stopping completely). 

    Here’s what what I mean:

    • Health – When we feel physically in shape, we decide to stop exercising – a few days becomes a few weeks
    • Learning – When we believe we’ve mastered enough, we decide to stop learning – binge reading becomes binge television
    • Relationships – When we sense our connections are strong, we decide to stop building them – personal texting becomes singular social media posting 

    Warren’s principal reminds us of the power of pausing too often or for too long.

    Once you stop showing up, you stop gaining. 

    Keep It Going

    You’ve decided to start (that’s great!), but don’t underestimate the importance of continued hustle. The laws of compounding don’t care if you’ve had a bad day, or it’s a busy week.

    When we decide to follow through, we continue to gain, period.

    So wherever you are, keep it up, and just like Warren you too will enjoy the aggregation, not of a single year, but an exponential 30 years. 

    Getting up when others won’t is what makes all the difference. 

    And who knows, that determination might be worth an extra $2.8M dollars, in whichever domain you’re compounding.

    Post inspired by:

    Buffettology: Unexplained Techniques That Have Made Warren Buffett by Mary Buffett

  • The Impact of a Starbucks Latte

    Written on February 15th, 2018

10 minute read

    The Impact of a Starbucks Latte

    Every morning around the country coffee-fanatics line up in droves, waiting for that favorite cup of Joe. Not only can the wait be long, but it can be more than $5 a cup! Which should beg the question… how much does your morning cup really cost?

    On one side, we have people who get the occasional coffee every month. On the other side, we have the group that can’t go a day without their orange mocha frappuccino (you know who you are)… let’s look at the daily coffee camp.

    To start, if you’re buying a $5 cup each day of the week, you are spending $1,825 each year. If that doesn’t sound expensive enough, consider the income you need to earn to sustain this morning ritual. Using a 15% marginal tax rate, you must earn $2,098 each year. To someone who makes $50,000 a year ($24 / hour) that’s 87 hours or two weeks of working each year!

    Kicking the habit or making it yourself would put $1,825/year in your pocket – sounds simple, minus the potential coffee withdrawals. But what if we took this to the next level?

    Investing the savings into retirement accounts

     

    If you dumped that $1,825 into retirement on January 1st of each year, here’s what your estimated balance would look like over time:

    Assumptions: 7% annual rate of return, lump sum invested on Jan 1 of each year, return calculated without fees

    That’s the power of compounding.

     

    But since we’re talking about retirement, it’s only fair we discuss the employer match. Here, an employer may match the dollars you contribute towards your 401k. There are limitations to the amount they might match (check with your HR department), but let’s assume they’ll match the $1,825 dollar-for-dollar.  

    Now your investment becomes $3,650 each January 1st, and the results are staggering.

    Assumptions: 7% annual rate of return, lump sum invested on Jan 1 of each year, return calculated without fees. Employer matches $1,825, investment becomes $3,650 each year

    If a 22 year old beginning their career made this one change in their daily routine, they would have roughly $744K by age 62, and they’d break $1M by their 67th birthday.

    Saving the equivalent of a daily Starbucks latte could allow working Americans to retire on schedule. 

     

    Even if you don’t have or aren’t taking advantage of an employer-sponsored 401K or match, looking to cut a small habit is worth considering. Redirecting even a handful of dollars a day can go a long way.  It’s worth noting, the retirement problem in America is very complex. There are, of course, other factors contributing to the broader issue; but this is for the individual to consider.

    When small, everyday habits compound, they create extraordinary gains. 

     

    Habits are at the center of everything we do. Everyone has experienced this situation; you’d like to workout more often, but things come up and you never end up at the gym. Perhaps you find there isn’t enough time to get to the things you care about and love. Why? You may feel as though your decisions and routines are repetitive; like you’re driving your car on autopilot. We fail to recognize that we control the habits that we form and, thus, the direction of the car.

     

    “We first make our habits, then our habits make us” -John Dryden

     

    While not everything is within your control, existing habits can stop you from reaching your goals. Be an informed driver and decide the route you want to drive based on the conditions; not on the routine.

     

    “It’s the daily practice of all the monotonous, little, boring things like brushing your teeth that matter the most. There’s no single event. There’s no one thing I can tell you you have to do. It’s an accumulation of lots and lots of little things, which any one by themselves [are] useless, yet together add up.”  -Simon Sinek

     

    When it comes to money, turning a small expense into a small savings could make you a millionaire. The same exponential return is seen across other areas of your life.

    Want to become more insightful?

    • Read about a new subject for 15 minutes each day

    Want to raise your EQ?

    • Meditate for 5 minutes each day

    Want to become a more empathetic leader?

    • Put down your smartphone before stepping into meetings; give your reports 20 minutes of undivided attention each day

     

    Similar to retirement investing, small habit changes will be subtle at first, but  they add up and compound over time. It’s with patience and commitment to betterment, that we can achieve slow, yet incredible gains.

    What’s your Starbucks latte?

    Whichever area it falls into, it may just make you a millionaire.